| Final Newspoll before voting day revealed |
PM Anthony Albanese MP Minister Tony Burke MP and Minister Jason Clare MP ** Labor is in the box seat to return to power for a second term in
government, the latest and final Newspoll before voting day has
revealed.
|
Final Newspoll before voting day revealed
Story by Duncan Evans
03/05/2025
(See translation in Arabic section)
Sydney-Middle East Times Int'l: Labor is in the box seat to return to power for a second term in government, the latest and final Newspoll before voting day has revealed.
The closely watched poll, published by The Australian, shows Labor ahead of the Coalition 52.5 per cent to 47.5 per cent on a two-party preferred basis.
Labor’s primary vote sits at 33 per cent, just a slight uptick from its 2022 performance, while the Coalition’s primary vote has slumped to 34 per cent, a record low.
The Greens boast 13 per cent, a two point lift, while One Nation holds 8 per cent and “others†hold 12 per cent.
Anthony Albanese is also well ahead of his rival Peter Dutton.
Some 51 per cent of voters said Mr Albanese would make a better prime minister, compared to just 35 per cent for Mr Dutton.
The poll asked voters whether they would be better off in the next three years under an Albanese led Labor government or a Dutton led Coalition, and 57 per cent of voters selected Labor.
The numbers are more extreme for younger voters, with 74 per cent selecting Labor.
The poll, which surveyed 1270 voters between April 28 and May 1, delivers a better result for Labor than Thursday’s AFR/Freshwater Strategy poll, which put Labor ahead at 51.5 per cent to 48.5 per cent on a two-party preferred basis.
The Freshwater results revealed a 0.6 per cent swing towards Labor from the 2022 election.
If that swing holds across all electorates, the firm estimates Labor could jag a slim majority of 76 seats.
But when the polling company ran simulations taking in demographic and regional variations, it expected Labor to win 74 seats and the Coalition to finish with 64 seats.
The final Redbridge polls shows Labor ahead of the Coalition 53-47 on the two party preferred vote.
YouGov’s modelling, meanwhile, points to Mr Albanese winning a solid majority, with 84 seats with the Coalition set to lose a net total of 11 seats to end up with just 47 in the 150-seat parliament.
Independents would hold 14, Greens three, and KAP and Centre Alliance with one each. |
